Can Hornaday Jr. keep the momentum going at Talladega?
Autoracing Betting Lines
10/20/2011 -
Talladega, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Camping World Truck. Date:
Saturday, October 22. Race: Coca-Cola 250. Site: Talladega Superspeedway.
Track: 2.66-mile oval. Start time: 4:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 94. Miles: 250.04.
2010 winner: Kyle Busch. Television: Speed. Radio: Motor Racing Network (MRN)
/SIRIUS NASCAR Satellite.
After winning the last two races, Ron Hornaday Jr. is right back in contention
for the Camping World Truck Series championship.
What a remarkable comeback the 53-year-old Hornaday has made in the past
couple of months. Following his 24th-place finish in August at Bristol,
Hornaday trailed then-leader Johnny Sauter by 69 points.
Hornaday, a record four-time series champion, cut his 42-point deficit in half
after taking the checkered flag at Las Vegas for the first time in his career
this past Saturday. Leader Austin Dillon and James Buescher, who ranked second
in points heading into Las Vegas, crashed at separate times during the race.
With four races to go, Dillon holds just a five-point lead over Sauter and a
seven-point advantage over Buescher. Hornaday is 21 down, while Timothy Peters
trails by 25.
The series moves on to Talladega Superspeedway, where Hornaday has yet to win.
"With four races to go, Talladega is a track where we will just have to hold
our breath all weekend and hope we don't get caught in the big one," he said.
"We are in the midst of this championship battle and would really like to make
it out of Talladega with momentum."
This will be the third race in a row that Hornaday drives the No.2 Chevrolet
for Kevin Harvick Inc. Team owners Kevin and DeLana Harvick moved Hornaday
from the No.33 to the No.2, since that truck is presently leading in the
series' owner point standings. Crew chief Bruce Cook will remain with Hornaday
at least for Talladega.
Cale Gale drove KHI's No.33 at Las Vegas, but Nationwide Series regular Mike
Wallace is taking over driving duties this weekend.
"I am very excited about the chance to race for KHI, especially when I'm going
to be racing a truck that I know has an opportunity to win the race," Wallace
said. "I've won at Talladega before in the ARCA Series, and I'm excited to
have the opportunity to win again. Hornaday is back in the run for another
championship, so I think we'll be able to work together and help him along as
well and hopefully accomplish a sweep for KHI this weekend."
Kyle Busch is the only Sprint Cup Series regular competing in this race. Busch
has won the truck event at Talladega the previous two seasons. Last year, he
nipped Aric Almirola at the finish line by only 0.002 seconds, making it the
closest finish in series history.
Forty-one teams are on the preliminary entry list for the Coca-Cola 250.
<< Safety on the mind of Cup drivers heading to Talladega
Talladega, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Sprint Cup. Date: Sunday,
October 23. Race: Good Sam Club 500. Site: Talladega Superspeedway. Track:
2.66-mile oval. Start time: 2:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 188. Miles: 500. 2010
Winner: Clint Bowyer. T
<< This Week in Auto Racing October 21 - 23
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Superspeedway.
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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